Tokyo Olympics 2020 golf odds, lines: Surprising picks, top predictions from model that’s nailed seven majors

Kasumigaseki Country Club’s East Course will host the golf competitions of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, with the men’s event set to begin on Wednesday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Th 2020 Tokyo Olympics men’s golf field took a hit when Jon Rahm of Spain and Team USA’s Bryson DeChambeau both had to drop out due to a positive COVID-19 test. But with none of the 60 golfers in the field having won an Olympic medal before, competition will still be fierce for the second Olympic golf event over the last 116 years.

William Hill Sportsbook listed Rahm as the pre-event favorite for gold, but now that distinction goes to 2021 Open Championship winner and Team USA member Collin Morikawa, who is 7-1 in the latest 2020 Olympic golf odds. Americans Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele are both next at 9-1 on the odds board. Rory McIlroy is representing Team Ireland and he’s at 11-1, followed by Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama and Norway’s Viktor Hovland, both at 12-1. Before making any 2020 Tokyo Olympics men’s golf picks, be sure to see the Tokyo 2020 golf futures bets and golf predictions from Mike McClure’s proven golf model at SportsLine. 

McClure is a DFS pro who has won almost $2 million, and his golf projection model, which simulates each event 10,000 times, has been red-hot with his picks since the PGA Tour resumed last summer. In fact, his best bets based on the model have brought in more than $10,500 since the June restart, bringing in profits at tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure’s best bets included Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top 20. McClure’s best bets netted over $2,200 at the Open Championship.

In addition, McClure’s model was all over Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing.

McClure’s model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now, McClure is offering his top 2020 Tokyo Olympics golf predictions so you can cash in huge on sleeper and value picks. He’s sharing his Olympic golf picks only at SportsLine.

2020 Tokyo Olympics golf picks

One of the 2020 Olympics golf picks the model is high on: Matsuyama at 12-1. The Masters champion is one of the faces of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, having grown up in southwestern Japan and getting his professional start on the Japan Golf Tour. He is the 20th ranked player in the world and the model has him finishing inside the top five despite his slightly longer odds than the the top favorites.

Matsuyama has had a light schedule since winning the green jacket in April. But he had a top-25 finish at the PGA Championship and was one stroke away from doing the same at the U.S. Open. Outside of his Masters win, the 29-year-old’s next-best finish this season was placing runner-up at the Vivint Houston Open.

Matsuyama’s success this season has been predicated on his prowess approaching the green. His .681 strokes gained in that regard ranks 15th on the PGA Tour, while he ranks 17th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.154). His proficiency in hitting the green will be paramount at Kasumigaseki Country Club as the East Course contains many huge bunkers that can wreck a round. Playing in his home country and at a course that suits him well, Matsuyama brings good value for 2020 Olympic golf bets. 

On the other hand, McClure is fading Thomas at 9-1. He doesn’t even make it into the top five in McClure’s picks after a run that has seen him fail to secure a top 10 finish since March.Thomas recorded his 14th career PGA Tour victory earlier this season at the Players Championship, joining Tiger Woods as the only players to win a major championship, the Players Championship and have 10+ PGA Tour victories before the age of 28. However, he’s struggled mightily since his victory at TPC Sawgrass, finishing T40 or worse in four of his last five PGA Tour starts. 

Thomas’ recent struggles can be directly attributed to his inability to find the fairway off the tee. The 14-time PGA Tour champion enters the 2020 Tokyo Olympics ranked 174th in driving accuracy percentage (55.80), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to win a medal. Kasumigaseki’s East course has trees everywhere and some large, deep bunkers, so his lack of accuracy could get him into a lot of trouble. The 28-year-old American is simply trending in the wrong direction.   

How to make 2020 Tokyo Olympics golf picks

For the Tokyo Olympics 2020, McClure’s golf picks point to value on a huge long shot who comes in well over 40-1. This veteran has multiple international victories and has been a fixture in the top-25 at PGA Tour events this season. See who it is and check out all of McClure’s top picks before you bet the 2020 Tokyo Olympics or make any Summer Games golf picks.

Who wins the 2020 Tokyo Olympics men’s golf tournament? And which long shot brings huge value? Visit SportsLine now to get Mike McClure’s futures picks for the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, all from the DFS pro whose golf picks have brought in more than $10,500 since last summer, and find out.

2021 Tokyo Olympics golf odds (via William Hill Sportsbook)

Collin Morikawa 7-1
Xander Schauffele 9-1
Justin Thomas 9-1
Rory McIlroy 11-1
Hideki Matsuyama 12-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Paul Casey 16-1
Patrick Reed 18-1
Cameron Smith 20-1
Shane Lowry 20-1
Joaquin Niemann 20-1
Corey Conners 22-1
Abraham Ancer 22-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 28-1
Sungjae Im 28-1
Tommy Fleetwood 28-1
Marc Leishman 28-1
Guido Migliozzi 45-1
Garrick Higgo 45-1
Alex Noren 50-1
Si-Woo Kim 50-1
Carlos Ortiz 60-1
Thomas Pieters 60-1
Jhonattan Vegas 66-1
Thomas Detry 66-1
Mackenzie Hughes 66-1
Sebastian Munoz 80-1
Antoine Rozner 80-1
Mito Pereira 100-1
Ryan Fox 100-1
Rasmus Hojgaard 100-1
Rikuya Hoshino 100-1
Matthias Schwab 100-1
C.T. Pan 125-1
Henrik Norlander 125-1
Jazz Janewattananond 125-1
Rory Sabbatini 150-1
Anirban Lahiri 150-1
Adri Arnaus 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Yechun Yuan 200-1
Romain Langasque 200-1
Adrian Meronk 200-1
Sami Valimaki 200-1
Kalle Samooja 200-1
Joachim B Hansen 200-1
Scott Vincent 200-1
Rafael Campos 250-1
Maximilian Kieffer 250-1
Ashun Wu 250-1
Fabrizio Zanotti 250-1
Kristian Krogh Johannessen 300-1
Hurly Long 300-1
Gunn Charoenkul 300-1
Juvic Pagunsan 300-1
Ondrej Lieser 400-1
Gavin Green 500-1
Udayan Mane 500-1